Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-03 00:00:00+00:00 0.010606 0.012826 0.015610 0.019445 0.024732 0.031999 0.043199
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 0.008290 0.010950 0.014762 0.020940 0.031416 0.050150 0.091592
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.006779 0.009426 0.013537 0.020938 0.035471 0.067558 0.168102
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.005750 0.008287 0.012458 0.020584 0.038527 0.086266 0.302951
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.004849 0.007144 0.011056 0.019076 0.038263 0.096862 0.466075
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.004240 0.006368 0.010112 0.018153 0.038894 0.111715 0.794801
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.003857 0.005910 0.009645 0.018079 0.041764 0.140302 1.866524
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.003606 0.005642 0.009479 0.018623 0.046891 0.192114 8.610634
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.003351 0.005329 0.009160 0.018701 0.050691 0.250975 142.766573
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.003060 0.004914 0.008567 0.017913 0.050921 0.288062 NaN
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.002845 0.004619 0.008180 0.017577 0.052840 0.354242 NaN
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.002751 0.004545 0.008254 0.018548 0.061375 0.573143 NaN
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.002659 0.004484 0.008401 0.019981 0.075296 1.229215 NaN
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.002569 0.004422 0.008545 0.021546 0.093801 3.634877 NaN
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.002412 0.004198 0.008257 0.021544 0.102664 8.725922 NaN
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.002257 0.003963 0.007900 0.021175 0.108671 23.466263 NaN
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.002069 0.003639 0.007275 0.019608 0.102218 28.485081 NaN
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.001924 0.003398 0.006835 0.018649 0.100666 55.814877 NaN
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.001830 0.003257 0.006635 0.018572 0.108146 1195.108568 NaN
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.001767 0.003181 0.006594 0.019137 0.124646 NaN NaN
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.001693 0.003071 0.006448 0.019218 0.136514 NaN NaN
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.001596 0.002903 0.006119 0.018400 0.134636 NaN NaN
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.001522 0.002781 0.005906 0.018052 0.139665 NaN NaN